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Research ArticleDrug Discovery and Translational Medicine

Development of Human Target Validation Classification that Predicts Future Clinical Efficacy

Cecilia Karlsson, Peter J. Greasley, David Gustafsson and Karin Wåhlander
Journal of Pharmacology and Experimental Therapeutics February 2019, 368 (2) 255-261; DOI: https://doi.org/10.1124/jpet.118.250894
Cecilia Karlsson
Cardiovascular, Renal and Metabolism Translational Medicine Unit, Early Clinical Development, IMED Biotech Unit, AstraZeneca, Gothenburg, Sweden (C.K., P.J.G.); Department of Molecular and Clinical Medicine, Institute of Medicine, Sahlgrenska Academy, University of Gothenburg, Gothenburg, Sweden (C.K.); Emeriti Pharma, AZ Bioventure Hub, Gothenburg, Sweden (D.G.); and KW Translational Medicine AB, Västra Frölunda, Sweden (K.W.)
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  • ORCID record for Cecilia Karlsson
Peter J. Greasley
Cardiovascular, Renal and Metabolism Translational Medicine Unit, Early Clinical Development, IMED Biotech Unit, AstraZeneca, Gothenburg, Sweden (C.K., P.J.G.); Department of Molecular and Clinical Medicine, Institute of Medicine, Sahlgrenska Academy, University of Gothenburg, Gothenburg, Sweden (C.K.); Emeriti Pharma, AZ Bioventure Hub, Gothenburg, Sweden (D.G.); and KW Translational Medicine AB, Västra Frölunda, Sweden (K.W.)
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David Gustafsson
Cardiovascular, Renal and Metabolism Translational Medicine Unit, Early Clinical Development, IMED Biotech Unit, AstraZeneca, Gothenburg, Sweden (C.K., P.J.G.); Department of Molecular and Clinical Medicine, Institute of Medicine, Sahlgrenska Academy, University of Gothenburg, Gothenburg, Sweden (C.K.); Emeriti Pharma, AZ Bioventure Hub, Gothenburg, Sweden (D.G.); and KW Translational Medicine AB, Västra Frölunda, Sweden (K.W.)
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Karin Wåhlander
Cardiovascular, Renal and Metabolism Translational Medicine Unit, Early Clinical Development, IMED Biotech Unit, AstraZeneca, Gothenburg, Sweden (C.K., P.J.G.); Department of Molecular and Clinical Medicine, Institute of Medicine, Sahlgrenska Academy, University of Gothenburg, Gothenburg, Sweden (C.K.); Emeriti Pharma, AZ Bioventure Hub, Gothenburg, Sweden (D.G.); and KW Translational Medicine AB, Västra Frölunda, Sweden (K.W.)
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  • Fig. 1.
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    Fig. 1.

    Schematic process demonstrating project filtering. CDs selected during 50 years of R&D at the AstraZeneca CVGI therapy area were filtered for second-generation molecules and nonefficacy-based attrition, and whether the efficacy readout was generated prior to the retrospective evaluation of the 10-point HTV classification with regard to its ability to predict future clinical efficacy of a CD.

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    Fig. 2.

    HTV assessment: relationship of HTV status to clinical efficacy and portfolio impact of applying HTV strategies. (A) Historical HTV status at the time of CD selection. A retrospective evaluation of HTV for all CDs that entered into human studies of sufficient length to generate efficacy readouts in the past 50 years within AstraZeneca’s CVGI therapy area. Data show HTV status at the time of CD selection and relationship to clinical efficacy. The number of projects in each group can be found in Fig. 1. (B) Portfolio impact of developing and applying HTV strategies. Application of HTV strategies to projects resulted in a decrease in the percentage of projects with low HTV status, an increase in the percentage of projects with medium HTV status, and no change in the overall proportion of projects with high HTV status over a period of 18 months and beyond.

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    TABLE 1

    Human target validation classification

    HTVDefinition
    High HTV
     Level 1Drug is on the market
      1.1Mortality/morbidity endpoint met in target population
      1.2Surrogate endpoint (approvable) met in target population
      1.3Confidence-generating endpoints met in target population
     Level 2Clinical tool is hitting the target
      2.1Surrogate endpoint (approvable) met in target population
      2.2Confidence-generating endpoints met in target population
     Level 3Drug is hitting a target in the pathway of interest
      3.1Mortality/morbidity endpoint met in target population
      3.2Surrogate endpoint (approvable) met in target population
      3.3Confidence-generating endpoints met in target population
     Level 4Drug/clinical tool is hitting the target and/or pathway outside the target population
      4.1Surrogate endpoint (approvable) met
      4.2Confidence-generating endpoints met
    Medium HTV
     Level 5Phenotypes/genotypes in the diseased state have been identified
      5.1Extreme (for example, naturally occurring mutants)
      5.2Heterogeneous (for example, based on population databases, patient cohorts)
     Level 6Clinical challenge model
      6.1Nondrug; stress test of pathway (for example, fat meal, lipopolysaccharide [LPS] challenge)
     Level 7Target affected in human ex vivo tissue manipulation
      7.1For example, platelet ADP stimulation, insulin secretion from human islets
    Low HTV
     Level 8Target/target pathway is altered in healthy vs. diseased population
      8.1For example, positron emission tomography tracer data supportive, bioinformatics, in silico mapping
     Level 9Target of interest is present in correct tissue/cell type
      9.1For example, bioinformatics, experimental evidence
     Level 10No relevant human data
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    TABLE 2

    Example of HTV strategy (for GPR103 antagonist in obesity and weight management)

    TimescaleProject Start6 mo12 mo18+ mo
    HTV statusLow (level 9)Low (level 8)Medium (level 6)High (level 2)
    Target present in correct tissueTarget/pathway is altered in healthy vs. diseased populationPathway-related effect in clinical challenge modelClinical tool is hitting the target
    EvidencemRNA expression data demonstrated GPR103 expression in human brain, including the hypothalamus, and QRFP (endogenous ligand) expression and binding in human hypothalamic neurons
    Key activitiesIs there evidence that the GPR103 pathway and/or its ligands are dysregulated in obese patients (in silico analysis of internal and external databases)?Is there evidence that the GPR103 receptor ligands QRFP26 and QRFP43 are present in either the circulation or cerebrospinal fluid at different levels in humans between fasting and fed states?Does an exploratory clinical tool GPR103 antagonist reduce food intake in humans?
    • QRFP, pyroglutamylated RFamide peptide.

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Journal of Pharmacology and Experimental Therapeutics: 368 (2)
Journal of Pharmacology and Experimental Therapeutics
Vol. 368, Issue 2
1 Feb 2019
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Research ArticleDrug Discovery and Translational Medicine

Human Target Validation Classification Predicts Efficacy

Cecilia Karlsson, Peter J. Greasley, David Gustafsson and Karin Wåhlander
Journal of Pharmacology and Experimental Therapeutics February 1, 2019, 368 (2) 255-261; DOI: https://doi.org/10.1124/jpet.118.250894

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Research ArticleDrug Discovery and Translational Medicine

Human Target Validation Classification Predicts Efficacy

Cecilia Karlsson, Peter J. Greasley, David Gustafsson and Karin Wåhlander
Journal of Pharmacology and Experimental Therapeutics February 1, 2019, 368 (2) 255-261; DOI: https://doi.org/10.1124/jpet.118.250894
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