User profiles for R. Fildes

Robert Fildes

Centre for Marketing Analytics and Forecasting, Lancaster University
Verified email at lancaster.ac.uk
Cited by 12238

Forecasting and operational research: a review

R Fildes, K Nikolopoulos, SF Crone… - Journal of the Operational …, 2008 - Springer
From its foundation, operational research (OR) has made many substantial contributions to
practical forecasting in organizations. Equally, researchers in other disciplines have …

Retail forecasting: Research and practice

R Fildes, S Ma, S Kolassa - International Journal of Forecasting, 2022 - Elsevier
This paper reviews the research literature on forecasting retail demand. We begin by
introducing the forecasting problems that retailers face, from the strategic to the operational, as …

The accuracy of extrapolation (time series) methods: Results of a forecasting competition

…, A Andersen, R Carbone, R Fildes… - Journal of …, 1982 - Wiley Online Library
In the last few decades many methods have become available for forecasting. As always,
when alternatives exist, choices need to be made so that an appropriate forecasting method …

Telecommunications demand forecasting—a review

R Fildes, V Kumar - International journal of forecasting, 2002 - Elsevier
The last decade has seen rapid advances in telecommunications technology in an
increasingly deregulated and competitive market place. Companies operating in these various …

Effective forecasting and judgmental adjustments: an empirical evaluation and strategies for improvement in supply-chain planning

R Fildes, P Goodwin, M Lawrence… - International journal of …, 2009 - Elsevier
… The small values of R 2 and β for companies A to C suggest that bias makes a relatively
small contribution to the forecast errors, though its elimination is still likely to be worthwhile. The …

The evaluation of extrapolative forecasting methods

R Fildes - International Journal of Forecasting, 1992 - Elsevier
… A fuller empirical analysis is described in Fildes (1989b). To illustrate the shape of the error
measure distributions, Exhibit 3a-b shows multiple BoxWhisker plots for Root Mean Squared …

Against your better judgment? How organizations can improve their use of management judgment in forecasting

R Fildes, P Goodwin - Interfaces, 2007 - pubsonline.informs.org
… We found little evidence r = 0 17 that reported improvements in accuracy (expressed as a
rank) were associated with the recommended practice of recording the reasons for adjustments…

The state of macroeconomic forecasting

R Fildes, H Stekler - Journal of macroeconomics, 2002 - Elsevier
Macroeconomic forecasts are used extensively in industry and government. The historical
accuracy of US and UK forecasts are examined in the light of different approaches to …

The role of prices in models of innovation diffusion

PA Bottomley, R Fildes - Journal of Forecasting, 1998 - Wiley Online Library
When evaluating the launch of a new product or service, forecasts of the diffusion path and
the effects of the marketing mix are critically important. Currently no unified framework exists …

Measuring forecasting accuracy: The case of judgmental adjustments to SKU-level demand forecasts

A Davydenko, R Fildes - International Journal of Forecasting, 2013 - Elsevier
… a given series i have different levels of the kurtosis, then ln r i is a biased estimate of ln ( E | e
i , t f | / … However, our experiments have shown that the bias of ln r i diminishes rapidly as n i …