TABLE 4

Statistical summary of diagnostic tests for the prediction of human subjective effects

Summary for prediction of human subjective effects, demonstrating the number of false positives, true positives, true negatives, false negatives, and outcome ratios for various statistical outputs with regard to diagnostic value. Values in parentheses indicate 95% confidence intervals. Values indicate a significant difference from pretest probability [concordance, PPV, NPV, PPV (30% prev), NHP (30% prev)] or from zero predictive value (VaPPV, VaNPV). PPV and NPV represent observed predictive values. PPV (30%) and NPV (30% prev) represent predictive values corrected for an estimated prevalence of 0.3.

ModelFalse PositivesTrue PositivesTrue NegativesFalse NegativesConcordanceSensitivitySpecificityPPVAdjusted PPV (30% prev)Value Added PPVNPVAdjusted NPV (30% prev)Value Added NPVPRU PositivePRU Negative
Zebrafish CPP08570.65 (0.43, 0.82)0.53 (0.30, 0.75)1.0 (0.57, 1.0)1.0 (0.68, 1.0)1.0 (0.29, 1.0)0.7 (-0.01, 0.70)0.42 (0.19, 0.68)0.83 (0.70, 0.92)0.13 (0, 0.22)1.0 (-0.01, 1.0)0.44 (0, 0.72)
Rat CPP213310.84 (0.62, 0.94)0.93 (0.69, 0.99)0.6 (0.23, 0.88)0.87 (0.62, 0.96)0.5 (0.3, 0.87)0.2 (0, 0.57)0.75 (0.3, 0.95)0.95 (0.7, 1.0)0.25 (0, 0.3)0.28 (0, 0.82)0.84 (0.01, 0.99)
Rat self-administration213210.83 (0.61, 0.94)0.93 (0.69, 0.99)0.5 (0.15, 0.85)0.87 (0.62, 0.96)0.44 (0.29, 0.84)0.14 (-0.01, 0.54)0.67 (0.21, 0.94)0.94 (0.62, 1.0)0.24 (-0.08, 0.3)0.20 (-0.02, 0.77)0.81 (-0.25, 0.99)
  • NPV, negative predictive value, PRU positive, proportionate reduction in uncertainty for positive findings; PPV, positive predictive value; PRU negative, proportionate reduction in uncertainty for negative findings.